The Lastest Macroeconomic News
09.03.2017 18:45 The 3 Biggest Risks Haunting the Global Economy
The stock market could crash. Protectionist trade policies might backfire leading to job losses. Or housing booms in some countries could go bust. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) looked into its crystal ball Tuesday, and warned that while the global economy is slowly improving now, these are some of the shocks that could derail the still-fragile recovery in the not-too-distant future. The OECD never mentions President Donald Trump by name it is report, but the Paris-based organization made it clear it does not endorse his “America First” trade proposals, or the broader protectionist zeitgeist sweeping across the United States, Britain, and Europe. “A roll-back of existing trade openness would be costly,” the OECD warned, noting an increase in trade barriers in the major global trading economies like the United States, Europe, and China could adversely impact GDP and jobs in those places. The warning comes with a chart, showing about 10% of American jobs are linked to global trade. In the United Kingdom, that number is over 20%, and in Germany, it`s near 30%.
06.03.2017 20:15 5 diseases that kill 16M people, cost the world economy $2.35T annually
Five non-communicable diseases that kill 16 million people around the world each year are projected to take a $47 trillion total toll on worldwide economic activity over the next 20 years, according to a report from the World Economic Forum and Willis Towers Watson. However, the burden of these five diseases could be significantly reduced by improving individual behavior and consumer choice, according to the report. The study suggests the healthcare ecosystem needs to shift to prevention over treatment when it comes to population health management.
03.03.2017 18:32 Global Economy: Two percent inflation. A call to action?
U.S. President Donald Trump`s address to Congress may make the most headlines, but inflation readings of 2 percent could prove more significant economic events next week - a call to action perhaps in America and a important milestone in Europe. The U.S. consumer price index (CPI), published mid-Feb, has already shown prices rising at their fastest monthly pace in nearly four years in January and a year-on-year rate of 2.5 percent. However, the Fed has often emphasized the inflation measure for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) because of its wider range of goods and services. And that too is now seen climbing to 2 percent on its release on Wednesday. Rob Carnell, chief international economist at ING, sees the release as pivotal, nudging more Federal Open Market Committee members, who next meet on March 14-15, to favor action as the excuse of low inflation disappears.
01.03.2017 19:32 India Q3 GDP grows 7% despite demonetization, analysts frown
India`s economic growth slowed marginally to 7% in October-December from 7.4% in the previous quarter, government data showed on Tuesday, raising eyebrows among experts and economists. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) also retained the advanced estimate for 2016-17 at 7.1%, which is lower than 7.9% of 2015-16, but higher than what most economists have predicted in view of the crippling effect that demonetisation has had on consumption and investment. The Q3 GDP growth estimate beat analysts` expectation of 6.4%. Some had even projected the growth to slip below 6%. Analysts point to flaws in the GDP calculations saying it does not factor in the informal sector, which was the worst hit after the government scrapped Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes in a surprise announcement on November 8.
26.02.2017 20:05 Euro zone economy: real recovery or another Sirens` song?
Over the years, euro zone economic growth has been a bit like the Sirens in Homer`s Odyssey: singing a song of promise, only to end up pulling you onto the rocks. Will it be different this time? The strong growth registered in numerous data releases and surveys at the beginning of this year has surprised many. One eye-opening example was the release of flash purchasing managers indices for France, Germany and the euro zone on Feb 21. Of nine indexes, eight registered growth and six did so at a higher level than any economist polled by Reuters had imagined. Not surprisingly, economists and policy-makers are now looking for firm proof that the euro zone`s apparent rebound this year is sustainable, as well as noting a variety of potentially destructive economic and political hazards ahead.
24.02.2017 10:02 Increasing female employment rates will boost the GDP in OCED countries by 12%
The Global Women Principal PwC has released its `Women in Work Index` research stating the progress made and emphasizing the need to make more attempts in increasing female employment rates. The research highlights the ups and downs in the Index across OCED (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries. Gradually, OCED maintained the legacy of trotting towards progress; this year`s Index states. It is rapidly progressing towards greater female economic empowerment. The Nordic countries Iceland, Sweden and Norway occupy the top position in the Women in Work Index in terms of gender pay gap. Some very developed countries Korea, Japan and Germany lags behind in this list; having a very high pay gap. By fully closing the gender pay gap, we could increase the female earnings by $2 trillion; an increase of 23%.
21.02.2017 13:52 GDP growth is vital for China
The Chinese economy could be the world`s most perplexing phenomenon. Although a number of experts and columnists have repeatedly forecast that China`s economy would collapse, it has grown steadily to become the second largest in the world in terms of GDP and is set to overtake the United States` economy to become the largest. Chinese people have now become familiar with the China-collapse rhetoric, from the collapse of the Chinese society as a whole two decades ago to the more recent forecast of a financial and economic crisis triggered by its high debt levels and the bursting of real estate price bubbles. Contrary to such projections, the country`s economy has been resilient since the reform and opening-up were launched over 35 years ago.
19.02.2017 18:23 Where next for the world economy?
Just when you thought the future looked somewhat predictable, 2016 throws up a couple of major surprises. It seemed as though the world was on a path towards increasing globalization which would eventually see national governments replaced with political unions. Similarly, climate change was becoming more central to economic decisions, and a world where fossil fuels were no longer used did not seem all that far away. However, the UK`s decision to leave the EU and the election of Donald Trump as US President could change what appeared to be a relatively certain path for the world economy. Here`s how things could now work out.
16.02.2017 15:10 Russian Economy May Grow 2% in 2017
The Russian Economic Development Ministry expects the country`s economy to grow some two percent this year as the recovery begins to affect the broader population, ministry head Maxim Oreshkin said Wednesday. "In the start of 2017 the situation is also quote positive… In 2017 we expect growth to be broader, expanding into the consumer sector. We expect incomes to recover, there will be a positive tendency. We expect growth of some two percent in 2017," Oreshkin said during a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. So far, rail freight and the electricity sectors are showing the best growth figures, the minister added, noting that business confidence had reached the highest levels in over five years.
14.02.2017 10:17 E7 to reach 50% of world`s GDP by 2050, PwC says
The shift of global economic power to emerging economies is set to continue in the long run, with India, Indonesia and Vietnam among the star performers, professional services firm PwC Hungary says in a press statement sent to the Budapest Business Journal today. The long-term global economic power shift away from the established advanced economies is set to continue over the period to 2050, as emerging market countries continue to boost their share of world GDP in the long run, despite recent mixed performance in some of these economies, PwC says. This is one of the key findings of its latest report, entitled “World in 2050: The long view: how will the global economic order change by 2050?”