The Lastest Macroeconomic News
27.11.2006 21:25 The industrial production growth is likely to lend support to the GDP up 6,7% in 2006
The industrial production growth estimate for 2006 has been raised from 4.6% to 4.8%, which is likely to lend support to the GDP growth of 6.7%, the analysts of Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting said. Russian investment growth is likely to reach the 13.7% level in 2006, driven by the easing of the VAT regime in construction and the elimination of import duties on high-tech equipment. The industrial production growth estimate for 2007 has been raised from 4.3% to 5.0%.
26.11.2006 18:48 British GDP increased 2,7% in the third quarter of 2006, GDP of Germany grew 2,8%
Britain recorded 0,7% in economic growth for the third quarter over the previous quarter and 2,7% for the year, the office for National Statistics said in its second estimate this week. Economists had expected the NS office to adhere strictly to its prior estimate, or a quarterly increase of 0,7% and a year-on-year rise of 2.8%, according to ABN Amro bank. De Statis, the German federal statistics office, says this week the GDP of Germany grew 0,6% in the third quarter of 2006. Compared with a year earlier, the GDP in the third quarter of 2006 was up 2.8%.
25.11.2006 16:05 GDP of Russia had risen 6.8% in January-October 2006
Economics minister of Russia discussed the medium-term future of the economy at a news conference Tuesday, focusing on plans for an oil exchange, changes to the domestic gas price, inflation, and import regulations. German Gref said gross domestic product of Russia had risen 6.8% in January-October 2006, and that GDP growth from October 2005 to October 2006 was 8.2%. On inflation, the minister said the figure would not exceed the national target of 9%. "According to the current dynamics, we are keeping to the 9% inflation index," he told.
23.11.2006 21:28 US October industrial production up 0.2%
The Federal Reserve Board announced November 16 that U.S. industrial production rose 0.2 percent in October after having decreased 0.6 percent in September; production in August was revised up to show a gain of 0.3 percent. Economists were expecting production to rise 0.3%. Capacity utilization rose to 82.2% from a revised 82.1% in September. Manufacturing output fell 0.2% in October, due to weak auto production. Excluding autos, manufacturing output rose 0.1%. Output of utilities jumped 4.1% in October after falling 4.6% in the previous month.
23.11.2006 21:05 Industrial new orders down by 1.3% in euro area
The euro area industrial new orders index decreased by 1.3% in September 2006 compared to August 2006. The index rose by 3.8% in August and by 2.0% in July. EU25 new orders fell by 1.0% in September 2006, after rises of 2.7% in August and 1.7% in July. Excluding ships, railway and aerospace equipment industrial new orders fell by 2.0% in the euro area and by 0.7% in the EU25 in September 2006. In September 2006 compared to September 2005, industrial new orders increased by 7.6% in the euro area and by 6.8% in the EU25. Total industry excluding ships, railway and aerospace equipment grew by 5.4% in the euro area and by 5.0% in the EU25.
22.11.2006 21:11 Japanese GDP grew 2,0% compared to the third quarter of 2005
The Japanese growth data was stronger than expected with a third-quarter GDP increase of 0.5%. Japanese GDP grew 2,0% compared to the third quarter of 2005. Despite of that, the Japanese government downgraded its assessment of the economy in a monthly report for the first time in almost two years today, as weak consumption cast a cloud over the long-lasting recovery. The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged at 0.25% following the latest policy meeting and failed to provide clear direction over the timing of another rate increase.
21.11.2006 20:38 GDP in Russia is expected to amount to 6.6 or 6.7 percent in 2006
GDP in Russia is expected to amount to 6.6 or 6.7 percent in 2006, compared to 6.4 percent in 2005, the Economic Development and Trade Ministry says in a report published on Thursday. Earlier, Russian officials forecast a 6.6 percent GDP rise for this year. Annual GDP in Russia came to 6.9 percent in the third quarter of the year, compared to the total 6.6 percent last year.
21.11.2006 20:22 Euro area GDP up by 0.5% and EU25 GDP up by 0.6% during the third quarter of 2006
GDP grew by 0.5% in the euro area and by 0.6% in the EU25 during the third quarter of 2006, compared to the previous quarter, according to flash estimates published by Eurostat, the Statistical Office of the European Communities. In the second quarter of 2006, growth rates were +0.9% in both the euro area and the EU25. Compared to the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP grew by 2.6% in the euro area and by 2.8% in the EU25 in the third quarter of 2006, after +2.7% and +2.9% respectively in the previous quarter. Seasonally adjusted industrial production decreased by 1.0% in the euro area in September 2006 compared to August 2006. Production rose by 1.7% in August3 and declined by 0.5% in July. In the EU25 output fell by 0.6% in September after an increase of 1.2% in August and a decrease of 0.3% in July. In September 2006 compared to September 2005, industrial production rose by 3.3% in both the euro area and the EU25.
20.11.2006 20:15 US Economic growth is predicted to be 2,5% in 2007
U.S. economic growth slowed sharply in the third quarter, increasing at a real seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.6% after a 2.6% increase in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said Friday. US National Association of Business Economists (NABE) predicts real GDP growth is projected to be at a 2.5% rate in the fourth quarter of 2006 and gradually ramp up to a 3% rate by the fourth quarter of 2007. US Economic growth is predicted to be 2,5% in 2007 compared to 3,3% in 2006. The NABE also reduced its anticipated profile for CPI growth in 2006, with the projected increase for this year now standing at 2.7%, compared to 3.3% in the September survey.
20.11.2006 17:53 Euro area external trade surplus 2.0 bn euro in September 2006
The first estimate for the euro area trade balance with the rest of the world in September 2006 gave a 2.0 bn euro surplus compared with +1.3 bn in September 2005. The August 20062 balance was -5.4 bn, compared with -2.9 bn in August 2005. In September 2006 compared with August 2006, exports, seasonally adjusted, rose by 2.0% while imports fell by 0.1%. The first estimate for September 2006 extra-EU25 trade was a deficit of 13.4 bn euro, compared with -9.5 bn in September 2005. In August 20062, the balance was -21.3 bn, compared with -14.7 bn in August 2005. In September 2006 compared with August 2006, exports, seasonally adjusted, rose by 1.6% while imports fell by 1.7%.
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