The Lastest Macroeconomic News
24.01.2022 14:57 Kaluga Automobile Electrical Equipment Plant will attract 132 million rubles from CentroCredit Bank
Centrocredit Bank will soon become a major creditor of PJSC Kaluga Automobile Electrical Equipment Plant (KZAE). Recently, the Board of Directors of the plant decided to apply to the bank and raise 132 million rubles in order to refinance the existing debt and maintain an acceptable level of working capital. This is stated in the official message published on the plant`s website. One of the goals of attracting a loan is the payment of debts on previous loans. The above amount should help the company pay off creditors. In addition, the funds will be used to pay the debt under the novation agreement. The remaining amount is planned to be used in settlements with suppliers of equipment, materials and components.
20.01.2022 21:47 The number of microloans issued in Russia hit a record high in 2021
The past year 2021 turned out to be fruitful for microfinance organizations. Russian citizens took small loans even more willingly than a year earlier. In particular, in the 3rd quarter of 2021, the total portfolio of microloans reached RUB 306 billion, an increase of 6% compared to the same period in 2020. It is noteworthy that with an increase in the number of microloans and the average amount issued, the number of overdue debts did not increase.
Experts note that the growth of this sector of the economy was due to a decrease in real incomes of citizens. At the same time, an increasing number of people lived in a paycheck-to-paycheck regime, and in the event of unforeseen expenses, they fell into difficult financial situations. Against this background, loans from MFIs have become a real salvation. The movement of borrowers from banks towards microloans was stimulated by a decrease in interest as a result of the actions of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, an increase in the loan term, as well as the simplicity and accessibility of registration.
20.01.2022 16:39 CentroCredit Bank opened access to the SPB Exchange for its clients
At the end of December 2021, Centrocredit Bank provided its clients with the opportunity to trade foreign securities on the St. Petersburg Stock Exchange and for this purpose launched a special Online tariff plan, which involves a commission of only 0.01%. The IT-specialists of the bank implemented the possibility of opening a brokerage account remotely, which became a convenient addition to the offer. As part of the offer, leveraged trading is available for traders, as a result of which clients have the opportunity to buy shares for an amount greater than the funds deposited. High liquidity, the ability to purchase securities of companies from sectors that are not in Russia, risk management, as well as competent diversification of investments and optimization of the investment portfolio - such opportunities are provided to clients by trading in shares of foreign companies on the SPB Exchange.
17.01.2022 13:01 In 2021, the number of bankruptcies of individuals increased significantly in Russia
In Russia, in the last month of 2021, the number of applications from citizens to the MFC regarding their recognition as bankrupt under a simplified scheme has significantly increased. In total, 1072 applications for out-of-court bankruptcy were recorded out of court. The indicator exceeded the value of November by 90.7%. The increase in requests was somewhat unexpected, since no such values were observed throughout the year. A greater number of bankruptcy filings were recorded only immediately after the simplified procedure became possible in Russia. This was in the fall of 2020. In 2021, only 4.7 thousand applications were submitted, of which a quarter, according to statistics, fell in December. In each of the other months, the number of hits did not exceed a few hundred. Such data was provided by Fedresurs.
10.01.2022 12:03 Russia`s Economy Outlook 2022
The Russian economy recovered to pre-pandemic levels in 2021 after its sharpest contraction in eleven years of 3% in 2020. But it may now face headwinds from a possible drop in prices for oil, its main export, and numerous interest rate hikes. The latest Russian Economic Report from the World Bank expects Russian growth to slow in 2022 and 2023 after a rebound of 4.3% GDP growth in 2021. The Bank revised its 2022 GDP growth forecast downwards from 2.8% to 2.4%, while seeing the growth slowing down to 1.8% in 2023. The EBRD also cut Russia`s outlook for 2022 to 3% in November, citing risks from a possible drop in oil prices in 2022 and the impact of the coronavirus variants. The World Bank named the four main risks to the Russian economy: the pandemic, an unexpected surge of inflation, international sanctions, and, in the long term, green energy transition. Low rates of vaccination in Russia make the pandemic a particularly large threat to the economy. As followed by bne IntelliNews, the Russian economy grew 4.3% year on year during the third quarter of 2021, but the post-coronavirus recovery was almost over by the autumn.
16.12.2021 12:14 Russian inflation in November: mounting pressure in durables is the key concern
November CPI data brought both positive and negative news. Stabilization of local food price growth and the one-off nature of the spike in services brought some relief, but mounting upward price pressure in non-food products and high core CPI are causes for concern. The CPI trend is testing the upper border of the Bank of Russia`s base case. Russian CPI picked up from 8.1% YoY in October to 8.4% YoY in November, broadly in line with what was suggested by the weekly data. According to Bank of Russia data released earlier, higher inflationary pressure is to be seen amid stable, but elevated, houiseholds` inflation expectations. There are several takeaways from the data, both positive and negative.
04.12.2021 16:14 Egypt`s Economy Grew by 9.8% In Q1 FY 2021-22
Egypt`s economy grew by 9.8% in the first quarter of the fiscal year 2021-22 that began in July, compared with 0.7% in the same period last year, Minister of Planning and Economic Development Hala al-Saeed said. Egypt expects a GDP growth of 5.5-5.7% in FY 2021-22 that ends in June, she added. Her remarks were made during a cabinet session chaired by Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, during which she reviewed the initial indicators of the country`s economic performance in the first quarter. The restaurant and hotel sector recorded the highest quarterly growth rate of about 181.8 percent, reflecting the remarkable recovery from the coronavirus repercussions. The telecommunications, manufacturing and construction sectors registered a growth rate of 16.3%, about 15.2%, and 10.5%, respectively.
29.11.2021 14:49 Russia`s industrial production growth accelerated to 7.1% in October
Russia`s industrial production growth accelerated to 7.1% year on year in October from 6.9% in September, which meant output was up 5.0% y/y in 10M21, RosStat reported on November 25. In seasonally adjusted terms, industrial production was up 0.8% m/m in October following 1.8% growth in September. The acceleration in y/y growth was driven mainly by the mining and quarrying sector, which grew 10.9% versus 9.0% in September, driven by an increase in the production of oil and gas (up 8.9%), coal (9.1%) and other natural resources (7.8%), as well as an increase in associated services (up 30.1%). At the same time, growth slowed in manufacturing (to 4.5% from 5.1%), the electricity, gas and heat sector (to 8.0% from 9.6%), and the water and waste management segment (to 6.3% from 11.7%). Within the manufacturing sector, growth remained strong in categories including beverages (13.6% y/y), paper and paper products (9.4%), oil products (11.9%), drugs and medicine (29%), machinery and equipment (17.2%), and transport equipment excluding cars (18.7%). Other segments registered a clear slowdown, including metals (output was flat y/y), metal products (up 2.7%), computers and electronics (down 12.6%), and cars (down 15.8%).
18.11.2021 19:48 The Russian economy grew 4.3% during the third quarter
The Russian economy grew 4.3% y/y during the third quarter, but the post-coronavirus recovery is almost over. The result was close to Sova Capital’s expectation (+4.2% year on year) but below Bloomberg consensus (+4.5% y/y), according to RosStat`s preliminary GDP growth estimate for 3Q21 released on November 17. “The solid 3Q21 figures were likely due to the still strong but waning momentum in retail and wholesale trade, manufacturing, and freight and passenger turnover,” Sova Capital said in a note. At the same time, mining and quarrying along with the financial sector likely did better than in 2Q21, Sova Capital reports. “On our estimates, the economy added just 0.15% SA quarter on quarter in 3Q21 after adding 2.1% SA q/q in 2Q21. The non-working period and partial lockdowns should lead to lower GDP growth in 4Q21 than previously expected, and our forecast is for growth of 1.7% y/y. Our outlook for Russia`s FY21 growth is 3.8%, which is lower than the estimates from CBR (+4-4.5% y/y) and Russia’s Ministry of Economic Development (+4.2% y/y),” the bank said in a note.
08.11.2021 12:18 Inflation in Russia is accelerating and is not yet in line with forecasts
Russian CPI jumped 0.7 percentage points to 8.1% year-on-year in October, exceeding market expectations. The good news is the volatile food segment accounted for 83% of the acceleration. The bad news is that weekly CPI needs to slow down from the current 0.21% to 0.09-0.15% to fit into Bank of Russia's fresh year-end forecast. This looks too optimistic. Russian CPI picked up from 7.4% YoY in September to 8.1% YoY in October, exceeding the market consensus but meeting our expectations. Looking into the numbers, we see both good and bad news.
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