World Economy Review - January 2012RTS Index |
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The International Monetary Fund cut its forecast for global economic growth in 2012 and 2013, citing growing financial strains and rising downside risks as Europe`s debt crisis entered a “perilous new phase.” In an update of its world economic outlook, the Washington-based institution said it expects global output to grow by 3.3% in 2012, down from 3.8% in 2011 and from a September forecast of 4%. Global output is forecast to expand 3.9% in 2013, down from a previous forecast of 4.5%. “Global growth prospects dimmed and risks sharply escalated during the fourth quarter of 2011, as the euro-area crisis entered a perilous new phase,” the IMF said.
The IMF said it now expects rising sovereign bond yields and deleveraging by banks to push the euro-zone economy into a “mild recession” in 2012. It also warned that overly aggressive austerity measures could backfire. The IMF expects the 17-nation euro-zone economy to shrink 0.5% in 2012, followed by growth of 0.8% in 2013. The IMF had previously projected growth of 2.1% in 2012 and 1.5% in 2013.
The report comes a day after IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde warned that the global economy could slide into a “1930s moment” unless Europe gets a grip on its debt crisis and other economic engines, including the United States and China, meet their responsibilities.
Lagarde emphasized the need for stronger, growth-oriented policies, as well as larger firewalls and deeper fiscal integration across the euro zone. Read more about Lagarde`s `1930s moment` warning.
The IMF left its forecast for U.S. economic growth i... full version... The World EconomyWorld GDP Growth, % |
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The world economy can be evaluated in various ways, depending on the model used, and this valuation can then be represented in various ways (for example, in 2006 US dollars). It is inseparable from the geography and ecology of Earth, and is therefore somewhat of a misnomer, since, while definitions and representations of the "world economy" vary widely, they must at a minimum exclude any consideration of resources or value based outside of the Earth. For example, while attempts could be made to calculate the value of currently unexploited mining opportunities in unclaimed territory in Antarctica, the same opportunities on Mars would not be considered a part of the world economy - even if currently exploited in some way - and could be considered of latent value only in the same way as uncreated intellectual property, such as a previously unconceived invention. Beyond the minimum standard of concerning value in production, use, and exchange on the planet Earth, definitions, representations, models, and valuations of the world economy vary widely.
It is common to limit questions of the world economy exclusively to Human economic activity, and the world economy is typically judged in monetary terms, even in cases in which there is no efficient market to help valuate certain goods or services, or in cases in which a lack of independent research or government cooperation makes establishing figures difficult. Typical examples are illegal drugs and prostitution, which by any standard are a part of the world economy, but for which there is by definition no legal market of any kind. full version... | Monthly Average for January 2012 | indicator | value | change, % | | Dow Jones | 12529.90 | 3.68% | | RTS Index | 1481.43 | 4.95% | | RUR/USD rate | 31.26 | -0.13% | | RUR/EUR rate | 40.29 | -2.37% | | OIl (Brent), $/bl | 111.26 | 3.17% | | Oil (WTI), $/bl | 100.16 | 1.55% | | Gold, $/oz | 1656.12 | 0.23% |
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